Midterm '06 Analysis

 This is an analysis I did prior to the '06 Midterm elections regarding races people weren't willing to call one way or the other.  Summarizing the main issues with the three races, all three went the way my summarizations implied they would.  VA and MO to the Democrats, and TN to the Republicans.



I know most of you don't care, but I wrote a general summarization of the three official 'toss-ups' in the senate race, democrats are now projected to have 49 seats to the republicans 48, and here are the three toss-ups


Virginia: Webb has trailed Allen forever but after macaca-gate and a general sucking of allen to be a good campaigner Webb is now actually pulling ahead of Allen the last three polls average webb with a 4 point lead ahead of allen, but this is still within the margin of error(+/- 3), the reason is actually because of Allen's own campaigns attempt to attack Webb's fictional writings, which has seemed to backfire. Do you really want a senator criticizing fictional novels? Censorship? That's what we have Hillary for.

Missouri: Talent is a general rubber-stamp for bush, but McKaskill hasn't exactly done a whole lot to distinguish herself, she's made her campaign about stem cells and jobs, and its actually starting to make progress, the two are, literally, tied, 48-48, but interestingly enough, the democrats have pulled a play straight out of the 2004 playbook of the GOP and on november 7th missourians will vote on a ballot initiative to promote stem cell research, which many are hoping will bring out more stem cell supporters, and in turn, more democrat votes

Tennessee: Harold Ford is, arguably, one of the most conservative Democrats to ever exist, pro-life, anti-gay, pro-gun, not only that, he's the heir to the most powerful democratic political family in tennessee, so why isn't this deeply entrenched southern democrat winning in a southern state? well the catch as always in american politics: Harold Ford, Jr. is black, furthermore he recently committed a gaff of painful proportions, remarking recently that the difference between democrats and republicans is 'republicans fear the lord, democrats fear AND love the lord' it seems in many ways Ford is making this race difficult for himself, which brings to question his ability to truely be a senator, his opponents attacks that haven't been racist have drawn strictly from Ford's own actions